Coup Atlas Research Database
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70511152023ConspiracyDissident coup

Kazakhstan, 2023 — dissident coup conspiracy

Kazakhstan (KAZ)Central Asia, AsiaNovember 15, 2023

Event Summary

This entry is coded 15 November 2023 in Kazakhstan and falls within a period in which the government of President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev repeatedly framed unrest and alleged conspiracies as coup attempts, though no discrete coup plot precisely on that date is confirmed in the sources located for this entry. The defining episode was the January 2022 unrest, known as Bloody January, which began over fuel prices and escalated into deadly violence; Tokayev described it as an attempted coup d'etat, blamed foreign-trained bandits and terrorists, and invited Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization troops to help restore order. In January 2023 the prosecutor general told parliament the January 2022 unrest had been an attempted coup secretly prepared over the whole of 2021, and former security chief Karim Massimov was later sentenced to 18 years for treason and attempting a coup.

Ahead of the November 2022 snap presidential vote, the security service also said it foiled a plot by a group planning to organize riots, a coup, and a provisional government. The 15 November 2023 coding is best understood against this documented pattern of coup-plot allegations rather than a single confirmed plot on the day.

Researched Details

Researched

Independent research, added record by record. Hover any label for what it means.

Target identified in Coup Atlas research: Tokayev's government repeatedly framed unrest and alleged plots as coup attempts
RESEARCHED NAME
Key figures
President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev (who framed unrest as coup attempts)
former security chief Karim Massimov (convicted of attempting a coup)
the security service (KNB/GKNB)

Sources

After the January 2022 unrest, Kazakhstan's President Tokayev described the protests as an attempted coup d'etat, saying the main goal had been to undermine the constitutional order and seize power, and blamed foreign-trained bandits and terrorists.
SOURCE REVIEWED Al Jazeera: Kazakh leader declares 'coup d'etat' over as Putin claims victory open source ↗
In January 2023 Kazakhstan's Prosecutor General Berik Asylov told parliament that the January 2022 unrest was essentially an attempted coup that had been secretly prepared for the whole of 2021, and that organized criminal groups were among the perpetrators.
SOURCE REVIEWED The Diplomat: Karim Massimov Sentenced to 18 Years on Treason, Coup Charges open source ↗
Karim Massimov, the former head of Kazakhstan's National Security Committee, was sentenced to 18 years in prison following a classified trial on charges of high treason, attempting a coup, and abuse of power, after being arrested in January 2022.
SOURCE REVIEWED The Diplomat: Karim Massimov Sentenced to 18 Years on Treason, Coup Charges open source ↗
Ahead of a snap presidential vote, Kazakhstan's National Security Committee said a group of seven people had planned to organize riots and a coup and proclaim a provisional government, and were trying to attack administrative buildings and law enforcement offices.
SOURCE REVIEWED The Moscow Times/AFP: Kazakhstan Says Foiled Coup Attempt Ahead of Early Vote open source ↗

Editorial Note

CONTEXT: no discrete coup plot precisely dated 15 Nov 2023 was confirmed in the sources located this session. Framed from the documented pattern of Kazakhstan framing the January 2022 Bloody January unrest as an attempted coup, the Massimov treason/coup conviction, and recurring coup-plot allegations (including the Nov 2022 pre-election plot). First Kazakhstan record in the run.

Cross-Reference

Only one dataset carries it. One of the three reference datasets we check against carries this event; the others do not list it. That is not a contradiction — the datasets cover different periods and use different thresholds — but it means the record has had less outside corroboration.

Identifiers for finding this same event in the other datasets:

Cline Center id
70511152023

How the match is made is described in crossref-report.md.

Outcome and Target

Coup Atlas research identifies the target as: Tokayev's government repeatedly framed unrest and alleged plots as coup attempts.

Baseline coding: Plot discovered and disrupted before execution. Recorded leader fate: remained in office; not physically harmed. The baseline file does not name individual targets; researched names are kept in a separate layer.

Baseline Dataset Citation

Cline Center Coup d’État Project Dataset, v2.2.2
Peyton, Buddy, Joseph Bajjalieh, Michael Martin, and Andrea Gerald. 2026. Cline Center Coup d’État Project Dataset. Cline Center for Advanced Social Research. V.2.2.2. February 17. University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign. doi: 10.13012/B2IDB-9651987_V10
⚑ This citation establishes the coded baseline record; use the claim-level sources above for the researched narrative.

Baseline Source-Document Entries

Anadolu Ajansi

“Kazakhstan Claims Netting Group Attempting Coup,” November 15, 2023

France 24

“Kazakhstan Says Coup Bid Foiled Ahead of Presidential Election,” November 17, 2023

This is the citation trail carried by the baseline dataset, grouped by outlet and rejoined from the line-wrapped original. Coup Atlas has not independently re-checked every document; read the original before citing a specific claim. URLs the import damaged beyond safe repair are shown as plain text and listed in citations-report.md. How this list is built →

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