Coup Atlas Research Database
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10101232019AttemptedDissident coup

Venezuela, 2019 — dissident coup attempt

Venezuela (VEN)South America, AmericasJanuary 23, 2019

Event Summary

On 23 January 2019 Juan Guaido, the young opposition leader who had just become head of Venezuela's National Assembly, proclaimed himself acting president of the country before a huge crowd in Caracas, directly challenging the rule of Nicolas Maduro in an act his supporters framed as a constitutional transition and Maduro denounced as a United States backed coup. The move came amid a devastating economic collapse and a disputed 2018 presidential election, widely condemned as fraudulent, that had extended Maduro's rule; the opposition controlled National Assembly declared his presidency illegitimate and invoked the constitution to name Guaido interim president pending new elections. Within minutes, the United States recognized Guaido, followed by dozens of countries, while Russia, China, Cuba, and others stood by Maduro.

Guaido's gambit, however, though it galvanized mass protests and international support, could not dislodge Maduro, who retained the crucial loyalty of the military high command and the security services. The standoff hardened into a prolonged dual power crisis that would drag on for years, with Guaido recognized abroad but powerless at home, until his interim government was ultimately dissolved and Maduro remained entrenched.

Researched Details

Researched

Independent research, added record by record. Hover any label for what it means.

Target identified in Coup Atlas research: President Nicolas Maduro retained military loyalty and outlasted Guaido's January 2019 claim to the presidency
RESEARCHED NAME
Key figures
Nicolas Maduro (president of Venezuela, target)
Juan Guaido (National Assembly head who proclaimed himself acting president)

Sources

On 23 January 2019 Juan Guaido proclaimed himself interim president of Venezuela, challenging Nicolas Maduro, and was recognized by the US and a dozen other countries.
SOURCE REVIEWED Orinoco Tribune, Timeline of Political Violence in Venezuela open source ↗
The opposition-majority National Assembly declared Maduro a usurper after the disputed 2018 presidential election and named Guaido as its president under a rotation agreement.
SOURCE REVIEWED Wikipedia, Venezuelan presidential crisis open source ↗
Support followed geopolitical lines, with Russia, China, Cuba, Iran, Syria, and Turkey backing Maduro while most Western and Latin American countries backed Guaido.
SOURCE REVIEWED Wikipedia, Venezuelan presidential crisis open source ↗
Maduro retained the loyalty of the military and Guaido's international support later waned, especially after the failed 2019 uprising attempt.
SOURCE REVIEWED Wikipedia, Venezuelan presidential crisis open source ↗

Editorial Note

Date match to the 23 January 2019 Guaido self-proclamation. Dataset codes it a dissident coup with leader unharmed, accurate for Maduro; whether the move was a coup or a constitutional transition is contested (Maduro's framing vs the opposition's). Well documented. Note the gold-standard benchmark page is the Venezuela 2002 coup; this is a later chapter in the same Chavista-era struggle. First of two Venezuela 2019 records in this batch.

Cross-Reference

Only one dataset carries it. One of the three reference datasets we check against carries this event; the others do not list it. That is not a contradiction — the datasets cover different periods and use different thresholds — but it means the record has had less outside corroboration.

Identifiers for finding this same event in the other datasets:

Cline Center id
10101232019

How the match is made is described in crossref-report.md.

Outcome and Target

Coup Atlas research identifies the target as: President Nicolas Maduro retained military loyalty and outlasted Guaido's January 2019 claim to the presidency.

Baseline coding: Coup attempt failed to remove the incumbent. Recorded leader fate: remained in office; not physically harmed. The baseline file does not name individual targets; researched names are kept in a separate layer.

Baseline Dataset Citation

Cline Center Coup d’État Project Dataset, v2.2.2
Peyton, Buddy, Joseph Bajjalieh, Michael Martin, and Andrea Gerald. 2026. Cline Center Coup d’État Project Dataset. Cline Center for Advanced Social Research. V.2.2.2. February 17. University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign. doi: 10.13012/B2IDB-9651987_V10
⚑ This citation establishes the coded baseline record; use the claim-level sources above for the researched narrative.

Baseline Source-Document Entries

Wikipedia

The Times

“Protesters pour on to streets after Maduro crushes coup [Eire Region],” January 22, 2019

Toronto Star

“Canada unlikely U.S. ally in backing Venezuela coup,” January 25, 2019

Irish Times

“Maduro moves against rival Guaid´o: Venezuela’s president accuses opposition leader of staging a US-directed coup,” January 30, 2019

This is the citation trail carried by the baseline dataset, grouped by outlet and rejoined from the line-wrapped original. Coup Atlas has not independently re-checked every document; read the original before citing a specific claim. URLs the import damaged beyond safe repair are shown as plain text and listed in citations-report.md. How this list is built →

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