Belarus, 2024 — dissident coup conspiracy
Event Summary
This entry is coded 15 February 2024 in Belarus and falls in a period shortly before the country's 25 February 2024 parliamentary and local elections, within a documented pattern in which the government of President Alexander Lukashenko repeatedly announced foiled plots to overthrow or assassinate him, though no discrete coup plot precisely on that date is confirmed in the sources located for this entry. The clearest earlier instance of this pattern was the April 2021 affair, when Russia's Federal Security Service and the Belarusian KGB announced they had jointly foiled a plot to kill Lukashenko and stage an armed rebellion, detaining the US-Belarusian lawyer Yuri Zyankovich and the writer Alexander Feduta; that case was widely doubted as a provocation, and five people were eventually jailed in 2022. Lukashenko, in power since 1994 and holding elections that the opposition and Western governments consider neither free nor fair, has frequently accused Western intelligence services of trying to topple him.
The 15 February 2024 coding is best understood against this recurring pattern of coup and assassination-plot claims around sensitive political moments rather than a single confirmed plot on the day.
Researched Details
Researched
Independent research, added record by record. Hover any label for what it means.
Sources
Editorial Note
Cross-Reference
Only one dataset carries it. One of the three reference datasets we check against carries this event; the others do not list it. That is not a contradiction — the datasets cover different periods and use different thresholds — but it means the record has had less outside corroboration.
Identifiers for finding this same event in the other datasets:
- Cline Center id
37002152024
How the match is made is described in crossref-report.md.
Outcome and Target
Coup Atlas research identifies the target as: Lukashenko's government repeatedly announced foiled plots against him in this era.
Baseline coding: Plot discovered and disrupted before execution. Recorded leader fate: remained in office; not physically harmed. The baseline file does not name individual targets; researched names are kept in a separate layer.
Baseline Dataset Citation
Baseline Source-Document Entries
Daily Beast
The New Voice of Ukraine
Politico
This is the citation trail carried by the baseline dataset, grouped by outlet and rejoined from the line-wrapped original. Coup Atlas has not independently re-checked every document; read the original before citing a specific claim. URLs the import damaged beyond safe repair are shown as plain text and listed in citations-report.md. How this list is built →